Many Weather Groups Say El Niño Will Likely Come in 2026
Introduction
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and other weather groups say there is a high chance of El Niño in 2026. El Niño is a natural event. It makes the ocean in the Pacific warmer. This changes weather around the world.
Main Body
El Niño is a natural event. It happens every two to seven years. It lasts nine to twelve months. In 2026, the weather was normal at the start. Then, weather models showed a high chance of El Niño from May to July. The WMO chief said the ocean is warming quickly. The US weather group said there is a 61% chance of El Niño from May to July. Japan''s weather group said there is a 70% chance for the summer. Australia''s weather group said there will be less rain in the east from May to August. India''s weather group said the monsoon will be below normal. China''s weather group said El Niño will start in May and last until the end of the year. Earlier, some groups said a strong El Niño could push the world''s temperature above 1.5°C. Some models show it could go above 2°C. But this is only for a short time. The UK weather group said this El Niño could be one of the strongest. The US weather group said there is a 50% chance of a strong El Niño from November 2026 to January 2027. Different places will have different weather. El Niño usually brings dry and hot weather to Australia, Southeast Asia, India, southern Africa, and parts of South America like the Amazon. It brings more rain to the southern United States, parts of the Middle East, south-central Asia, and northern South America. In the Atlantic Ocean, there are fewer hurricanes. In the Pacific Ocean, there are more storms. Farmers said more rain in the Americas could help some crops. But too much rain can hurt harvests. Fertilizer costs are high, and this could make losses worse in dry areas. Experts said each El Niño is different. Spring forecasts are not always right. A scientist said the risk is high, but we are not sure.
Conclusion
In short, many weather groups say there is a high chance of El Niño in mid-2026. It could be a strong event. We do not know the exact effects, but countries can prepare. This shows how natural weather changes and human-caused warming work together.