Iran Conflict Causes Fossil Fuel Price Increases That Disrupt Polyester Supply Chains in South Asia, Threatening Fast-Fashion Retail Costs
Introduction
A sustained increase in fossil fuel prices, as a result of the Iran war, has placed significant financial pressure on polyester producers and garment manufacturers in India and Bangladesh. This development could affect major fast-fashion retailers, including Zara and H&M, which rely on these supply chains.
Main Body
The conflict has disrupted petroleum markets, especially through the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for refined petroleum products. Polyester, which makes up 59% of global fibre production and is made from oil-based materials, is directly affected by these supply problems. Madhu Sudhan Bhageria, managing director of Filatex, one of India’s largest polyester yarn producers, reported that the company is now paying nearly 30% more for its key inputs—purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and monoethylene glycol (MEG). This cost increase is caused by price rises from Chinese suppliers and interruptions in Middle Eastern supply routes. Beyond the costs of raw materials, the energy crisis has also affected downstream processing. Avichal Arya, CEO of Bindal Silk Mills—a supplier of dyed and printed polyester fabrics to retailers such as H&M, Inditex (owner of Zara), Target, Walmart, and Ikea—stated that the cost of chemicals and dyes has risen “drastically.” Furthermore, a shortage of cooking gas, caused by the war, has led to the departure of migrant workers from Surat, a major textile hub in Gujarat, India. Arya noted that this loss of workers has made it difficult for the company to fulfil global orders efficiently. While the immediate financial burden is carried by suppliers and manufacturers, the pressure may eventually move down the supply chain to retailers. However, analysts note that retailers are currently protected from the full impact because of forward-buying practices, which provide a temporary protection against sudden market changes.
Conclusion
The Iran war has caused a cost and supply crisis in the polyester-dominated textile supply chain of South Asia, with raw material prices rising sharply and labour availability declining. Although fast-fashion retailers face no immediate cost increases, the ongoing nature of the disruption indicates that price adjustments may become unavoidable as forward contracts expire.