Victorian Liberal Party Considers Preference Strategy with One Nation for November Election
Introduction
The Victorian Liberal Party is evaluating a strategic plan that would place One Nation ahead of the Labor Party in the upcoming state election on November 28.
Main Body
Internal reports suggest that the party's five-member strategy committee intends to prefer One Nation over Labor as a general rule, unless specific candidate issues occur. Although a spokesperson claimed that no formal decision has been made, current voting guides for the Nepean by-election already show a preference for One Nation over independent candidate Tracee Hutchison. One party member described this move as a sign of good faith between the two groups. This shift comes as One Nation's popularity grows. According to data from Resolve Political Monitor, One Nation received 21 percent of the primary vote in recent polls, while Labor and the Coalition received 27 and 29 percent respectively. This follows an election in South Australia where One Nation's success caused the Liberal Party to lose significant representation. Jim Reed, the founder of Resolve, emphasized that this trend shows voters are dissatisfied with the traditional two-party system and want to remove the Labor government. However, some critics, including former Premier Steve Bracks, argued that this strategy gives too much legitimacy to One Nation and could weaken center-right parties. Furthermore, pollster Kos Samaras asserted that the party faces a contradiction: while this move might secure right-wing votes, it could alienate voters in Melbourne's suburbs. This could put key seats like Hawthorn, Kew, and Malvern at risk. Additionally, some local members in Nepean have criticized the selection of candidate Anthony Marsh, leading some to support an independent candidate instead.
Conclusion
The Victorian Liberal Party continues to debate its strategy, trying to balance the goal of defeating Labor against the risk of losing urban voters and supporting a right-wing minor party.