Analysis of Growing Internal Disagreement and Predictions of Political Change in Russia

Apr 27, 2026, 11:25
EuropePolitics

Introduction

Recent public statements from former supporters of the Kremlin suggest that dissatisfaction with President Vladimir Putin's administration is increasing, with some predicting a systemic change in leadership.

Main Body

Ilya Remeslo, a lawyer who previously supported the Russian security services and the conflict in Ukraine, claimed that a non-military 'palace coup' will happen by late 2026 or early 2027. In an interview with Ksenia Sobchak, Remeslo asserted that some officials in the presidential administration are angry with Putin because they have lost personal benefits and because decision-making is too centralized. He suggested that a future government would be right-wing and would focus on attracting investment by reducing corporate taxes. Remeslo identified three possible successors: Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, Minister for Economic Development Maxim Reshetnikov—who has pointed out that state reserves are running low—and Col-Gen Alexei Dyumin. These claims follow Remeslo's time in a psychiatric hospital after he called the president a war criminal in March. Furthermore, there is an unverified theory that his current actions are being supported by certain members of the security services. At the same time, Victoria Bonya, a well-known influencer and former state supporter, released a video claiming that the president is isolated from the truth about domestic issues. Bonya highlighted several systemic failures, such as environmental disasters in Dagestan and Anapa, the decline of small businesses, and strict internet laws. She argued that these problems have caused significant public tension. However, public opinion remains divided; while some believe these views represent a wider consensus, others argue that the president is fully aware of these issues and uses fear as a tool to maintain control.

Conclusion

The current situation shows a change in tone from former loyalists. They now predict a systemic collapse and a transition of power caused by internal government conflicts and economic instability.

Vocabulary Learning

centralized (adj.)
centralised / concentrated power or control in one place集中化
Example:The decision‑making process was highly centralized, leaving little room for local input.
influencer (noun)
influencer / a person who has the ability to affect the purchasing decisions of others影響者
Example:The influencer promoted the new product to her followers.
psychiatric (adj.)
psychiatric / relating to mental health treatment or diagnosis精神病學的
Example:After his arrest, he was sent to a psychiatric hospital for evaluation.
systemic (adj.)
systemic / relating to or affecting a whole system系統性的
Example:The report highlighted systemic failures in the environmental protection laws.
tension (noun)
tension / a state of mental or emotional strain緊張
Example:The rising tension between the two parties threatened to erupt into violence.

Sentence Learning

Ilya Remeslo, a lawyer who previously supported the Russian security services and the conflict in Ukraine, claimed that a non-military 'palace coup' will happen by late 2026 or early 2027.
Relative Clause: The clause 'who previously supported the Russian security services and the conflict in Ukraine' provides additional information about the noun 'lawyer' and is essential for identifying which lawyer.關係子句: 該子句『who previously supported the Russian security services and the conflict in Ukraine』為名詞 'lawyer' 提供額外資訊，說明此律師的背景，並幫助讀者辨識其身份。
Furthermore, there is an unverified theory that his current actions are being supported by certain members of the security services.
Passive Voice: The verb phrase 'are being supported' is in passive voice, indicating that the subject (his current actions) receives the action of the verb rather than performing it.被動語態: 動詞片語『are being supported』使用被動語態，表示主語（他的行動）是被動接受動作，而非主動執行。
However, public opinion remains divided; while some believe these views represent a wider consensus, others argue that the president is fully aware of these issues and uses fear as a tool to maintain control.
Contrastive Conjunction: The word 'while' introduces a contrast between two clauses, showing that two different viewpoints exist.對比連詞: 連詞『while』用來引入對比，說明兩個不同的觀點同時存在。
Remeslo asserted that some officials in the presidential administration are angry with Putin because they have lost personal benefits and because decision-making is too centralized.
Causal Conjunction: The word 'because' introduces a reason for the officials' anger, linking the cause to the effect.原因連詞: 連詞『because』說明官員生氣的原因，將原因與結果連結。
He suggested that a future government would be right-wing and would focus on attracting investment by reducing corporate taxes.
Conditional Mood (would): The modal verb 'would' expresses a hypothetical or future conditional situation, indicating what might happen if the suggestion is realized.條件式 (would): 情態動詞『would』表達假設性或未來條件情境，說明若建議實現，未來政府可能會是右翼並專注於降低企業稅以吸引投資。